Archive for March 2008

RQ-11 RAVEN Small Unmanned Aircraft System

Air Force Link 

Mission
The RQ-11 Raven Small Unmanned Aircraft System is a small man-portable UAS that performs reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition missions for Air Force Special Operations Command Battlefield Airmen and Air Force security forces.

RQ-11 Raven UAV 1

Features
The Raven back-packable UAS features two air vehicles or AVs, a ground control unit, remote video terminal, transit cases and support equipment. Two specially trained Airmen operate the Raven AV. The AV can be controlled manually or can autonomously navigate a preplanned route. 
The Raven includes a color electro-optical camera and an infrared camera for night operations. The air vehicle is hand-launched, weighs less than 5 pounds, has a range of 10-15 kilometers and an endurance of up to 80 minutes.

Background
The Raven system has proven itself in combat supporting U.S. operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, and other areas of conflict. The Raven is now used by all of the military services. Air Force security forces are currently purchasing the Raven UAS to replace its aging Desert Hawk UAS.

General Characteristics
Primary Function: Situational awareness and direct target information
Contractor: Aerovironment, Inc.
Power Plant: Electric Motor, rechargeable lithium ion batteries
Wingspan: 4.5 feet (1.37 meters)
Weight: 4.2 lbs (1.9 kilograms)
Weight (ground control unit): 17 lbs (7.7 kilograms)
Speed: 30-60 mph (26-52 knots)
Range: 8-12 km (4.9-7.45 miles)
Endurance: 60-90 minutes
Operating Altitude: 150-500 feet air ground level (45-152 meters)
System Cost:  approximately $173,000 (2004 dollars)
Payload: High resolution, day/night camera and thermal imager
Date deployed:  2004
Inventory:  Classified

Point of Contact
Air Force Special Operations Command, Public Affairs Office; 229 Cody Ave.; Hurlburt Field, Fla. 32544-5273; DSN 579-5515 or 850-884-5515. 

October 2007

The Raven puts more eyes in the sky

by Staff Sgt. Mike Andriacco
455th Air Expeditionary Wing Public Affairs
11/12/2007 - BAGRAM AIR BASE, Afghanistan (AFPN) – The little cousin of the MQ-1 Predator and MQ-9 Reaper is making a big splash here as the RQ-11B Raven program takes flight.The Raven is a small unmanned aerial vehicle used to conduct visual reconnaissance up to ten kilometers away, said Staff Sgt. Daniel Garcia of the Force Protection Aerial Surveillance System Flight here.

The Raven itself is very small, a little more than four pounds, but packs a big punch in the area of surveillance. It can fly at a height of 10,000 feet above sea-level and remotely sends live footage back to the operator, where it is recorded for later evaluation.

“The Raven can fly in several different patterns,” said Sergeant Garcia. “It can fly in a predetermined pattern, circle an area or be controlled remotely by an operator.”The Raven doesn’t have landing gear but is designed to break apart on impact to prevent damage to the structure of the UAV itself and can be reassembled in minutes.

Launch of an RQ-11 Raven UAV

The camera provides high-resolution imagery up to 500 feet above the terrain, with location coordinates built into the display, and can remain aloft for one and a half hours on a single charge, said Sergeant Garcia.The RQ-11B also has several benefits over earlier models.

“This is a more durable UAV and it is much easier to launch,” said Col. Steven Ross, chief of the anti-terrorism office at U.S. Transportation Command. “The former model had to be launched like a giant slingshot. This one can be hand launched.”

The biggest benefit of the UAV is in creating a visual data to base defense forces without having to launch a regular-sized aircraft sortie.

The tactical advantage of having a small aircraft capable of transmitting images without putting pilots in harm’s way can be summed up with just a few words.

“Being able to see the enemy first is key,” Colonel Ross said.

MQ-9 REAPER Unmanned Aerial Vehicle

Mission
The MQ-9 Reaper is a medium-to-high altitude, long endurance remotely piloted aircraft system. The MQ-9’s primary mission is as a persistent hunter-killer against emerging targets to achieve joint force commander objectives. The MQ-9’s alternate mission is to act as an intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance asset, employing sensors to provide real-time data to commanders and intelligence specialists at all levels.
MQ-9 Reaper UAV

Features
The typical system consists of several air vehicles, a ground control station, communication equipment/links, spares and personnel who can be a mix of active duty and contractor personnel. The crew for the MQ-9 is a pilot and a sensor operator, who operate the aircraft from a remotely located GCS. To meet combatant commanders’ requirements, the MQ-9 delivers tailored capabilities using mission kits that may contain various weapons and sensor payload combinations.
The MQ-9 baseline system has a robust sensor suite for targeting. Imagery is provided by an infrared sensor, a color/monochrome daylight TV and an image-intensified TV. The video from each of the imaging sensors can be viewed as separate video streams or fused with the IR sensor video. The laser rangefinder/designator provides the capability to precisely designate targets for laser-guided munitions. Synthetic aperture radar will enable Joint Direct Attack Munitions targeting. The aircraft is also equipped with a color nose camera, generally used by the pilot for flight control.

Each MQ-9 aircraft can be disassembled into main components and loaded into a container for air deployment worldwide in Air Force airlift assets such as the C-130. The MQ-9 air vehicle operates from standard U.S. airfields.

Background
The U.S. Air Force proposed the MQ-9 system in response to the Department of Defense request for Global War on Terrorism initiatives. It is larger and more powerful than the MQ-1 Predator and is designed to go after time-sensitive targets with persistence and precision, and destroy or disable those targets. The “M” is the Department of Defense designation for multi-role and “Q” means unmanned aircraft system. The “9″ refers to the series of purpose-built remotely piloted aircraft systems.

In July 2004, the Air Combat Command Commander approved the MQ-9 Enabling Concept Document.  The MQ-9 is operated by the 42nd Attack Squadron and based at Creech Air Force Base, Nev. 

General Characteristics
Primary Function: Unmanned hunter/killer weapon system
Contractor: General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc.
Power Plant: Honeywell TPE331-10GD turboprop engine
Thrust: 900 shaft horsepower maximum
Wingspan: 66 feet (20.1 meters)
Length: 36 feet (11 meters)
Height: 12.5 feet (3.8 meters)
Weight: 4,900 pounds (2,223 kilograms) empty
Maximum takeoff weight: 10,500 pounds (4,760 kilograms)
Fuel Capacity: 4,000 pounds (602 gallons)
Payload: 3,750 pounds (1,701 kilograms)
Speed: cruise speed around 230 miles per hour, (200 knots)
Range: 3,682 miles (3,200 nautical miles)
Ceiling:
up to 50,000 feet (15,240 meters)
Armament: Combination of AGM-114 Hellfire missiles, GBU-12 Paveway II and GBU-38 Joint Direct Attack Munitions.
Crew (remote): Two (pilot and sensor operator) 
Unit Cost: $53.5 million (includes four aircraft with sensors) (fiscal 2006 dollars)
Initial operating capability: expected in fiscal 2008
Inventory: Active force, 10; ANG, 0; Reserve, 0

Point of Contact
Air Combat Command, Public Affairs Office; 130 Andrews St., Suite 202; Langley AFB, VA 23665-1987; DSN 574-5007 or 757-764-5007; e-mail: accpa.operations@langley.af.mil

Source: Air Force Link 

October 2007

Fighter Production To Rise Over The Next Decade

by Staff Writers
Newtown CT (SPX) Mar 26, 2008

 Source: Space War


In a new analysis, Forecast International projects that fighter aircraft manufacturers will deliver 3,345 new fighters over the next 10 years. According to the study, “The Market for Fighter Aircraft 2008-2017,” it is estimated that the total value of production for the fighter market during this timeframe will be worth $164.5 billion. The study notes that many nations are in the middle of a major, long-term re-equipment cycle. While annual fighter production is set to average around 300 aircraft per year through 2013, it will increase to 400 aircraft per year in 2014 as production of Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II/Joint Strike Fighter ramps up later in the decade.During the forecast period, the total value of annual production will fluctuate from $16.1 billion in 2008 to a 10-year low of $14.8 billion in 2013. It will then begin to grow in line with rising production levels, reaching $18.3 billion by 2017.

“Although fighter production will remain stable over the next few years, the U.S. military and allies of the United States are set to buy huge numbers of Lockheed Martin’s F-35 to replace legacy fighter fleets in coming years,” said Douglas Royce, Aerospace Analyst at Forecast International. “No other maker can look to such a potentially large market for its fighter aircraft.”

US Army Awards GD Contract To Produce Hydra-70 Rockets

by Staff Writers
Charlotte NC (SPX) Mar 27, 2008

Source: Space War

The U.S. Army Aviation and Missile Life Cycle Management Command has awarded General Dynamics Armament and Technical Products a contract worth $166.4 million for the production of 2.75-inch Hydra-70 rockets. The award is part of a five-year requirements contract signed in 2005 that has a total potential value of more than $900 million if all options are exercised. General Dynamics Armament and Technical Products is a business unit of General Dynamics. “General Dynamics Hydra-70 rockets provide U.S. forces with effective firepower that is versatile, affordable and has proven extremely successful against area suppression-type targets,” said Russ Klein, vice president and general manager of weapon systems for General Dynamics Armament and Technical Products. “Our team in Camden, Ark., is proud to manufacture this rocket system to help protect the men and women who protect us.”Hydra-70 is a family of unguided rockets offering several warhead configurations that enable an aircrew to match the rocket to the specific mission. Rockets can be fired from a variety of rotary and fixed-wing platforms, including the U.S. Army Apache and U.S. Marine Corps Cobra attack helicopters, the U.S. Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcon and combat aircraft of many nations worldwide.System engineering and program management will be performed at General Dynamics’ Burlington Technology Center in Vermont. Final assembly and component sub-assembly will occur at General Dynamics’ Camden, Ark., facility.

USS Georgia rules the seas

Sat, Mar 29, 2008

By MICHAEL HALL

The Brunswick News

Lt. Commander Noel Gonzalez is from Florida, but he asked for an assignment to the USS Georgia.

“This is a great ship,” he said after serving as master of ceremonies for the submarine’s return to service ceremony Friday at Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay, in Kingsland.

“Being on the Georgia in Georgia is a big deal,” Gonzalez said.

More than 2,000 sailors, spectators and dignitaries were on hand for the 560-foot submarine’s coming out ceremony after being converted from a ballistic-missiles sub to a guide-missile and attack sub and home-ported at Kings Bay.

“It is a remarkable machine,” said U.S. Rep. Jack Kingston, R-1.

The USS Georgia is the last of four submarines from the Cold War era to be converted from nuclear weapons to conventional weapons.

It is now capable of firing 154 Tomahawk guided missiles, launching Navy SEALs without surfacing, diving more than 800 feet deep, and carrying a crew of more than 200.

“Our Georgia will make us proud,” Gov. Sonny Perdue said during the ceremony. “To the crew, I can assure you that the citizens of this state stand behind you. Your work will never go unrecognized.”

A portion of the crew of the USS Georgia salutes aboard the submarine during a ceremony Friday at Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay 

Perdue presented Capt. Brian Mcilvaine, commander of the submarine, with a Georgia state flag that had ceremoniously traveled through all of the state’s 159 counties.

“We will fly this flag proudly,” Mcilvaine said.

Among the crew on the submarine is Harry Jadick, missile technician first class, who enlisted in the Navy at 27 years old for a change of scenery from his job in an Atlantic City casino.

“It is going to be a ride,” Jadick said.

From another era of servicemen who attended the ceremony is Joe Sabol, who was in the Navy from 1942 to 1965. He was aboard the USS Thomas Jefferson, a submarine carrying nuclear weapons, off the coast of the then Soviet Union the day President Kennedy was assassinated.

For him, the USS Georgia represents a step in the right direction. “It means we have more firepower for today,” he said.

For the crew members, it means the beginning of a new chapter in their careers.

The first step is training, which will begin in the coming weeks, said Gonzalez.

Defense Focus: Air tanker war

Part 1

Published: March 13, 2008 at 11:24 AM

Source:  United Press International

By MARTIN SIEFF
UPI Senior News Analyst
WASHINGTON, March 13 (UPI) — The enormous battle being waged between Boeing and the U.S. Air Force over the award of a giant air tanker deal to Northrop Grumman and the European Aeronautics Defence and Space Co. is filled with complexities and ironies that go far beyond the respective merits and problems of the aircraft involved.The reasons Boeing lost while Northrop Grumman won point a revealing light on a long-established U.S. Department of Defense procurement process that has malfunctioned far more often in recent years than it ought to — with increasingly costly and serious results for the U.S. taxpayer and for U.S. national defense.

Many of the causes for Boeing’s defeat were rooted in the company’s long-established successes and in some of its most spectacular failures in recent years in other fields. But the controversy also heightened the growing global contrast between the way the major corporations of the U.S. high-tech and defense sectors do business and the very different business model that prevails across the Atlantic in the European Union.

The Boeing Co. Tuesday lodged a protest with the Government Accountability Office over the U.S. Air Force’s decision to contract for a new medium-range air tanker to Northrop Grumman and its European partner, the French and German-controlled EADS, for their KC-45A rather than Boeing’s KC-767.

The $35 billion decision to buy 179 aircraft — expected to grow to a $100 billion commitment to buy 600 in all — came as a bombshell to Boeing and has rocked the U.S. aerospace industry. Congressmen and senators on either side of the aisle are up in arms over it.

Boeing said the U.S. Air Force didn’t note its experience when awarding a tanker contract to EADS and Northrop Grumman.

“Not only did this flawed decision deny the government the manufacturing benefits of Boeing’s unique in-line production capability, subjecting the Air Force to higher risk, but it also resulted in a distortion of the price at which Boeing actually offered to produce tankers,” the company said.

“In evaluating past performance, the Air Force ignored the fact that Boeing — with 75 years of success in producing tankers — is the only company in the world that has produced a commercial-derivative tanker equipped with an operational aerial-refueling boom. Rather than consider recent performance assessments that should have enhanced Boeing’s position, the Air Force focused on relatively insignificant details on ’somewhat relevant’ Northrop/EADS programs to the disadvantage of Boeing’s experience,” the company said.

“Boeing offered an aircraft that provided the best value and performance for the stated mission at the lowest risk and lowest life cycle cost,” said Mark McGraw, vice president and program manager, Boeing Tanker Programs.

“We did bring our A-game to this competition. Regrettably, irregularities in the process resulted in an inconsistent and prejudicial application of procurement practices and the selection of a higher-risk, higher-cost airplane that’s less suitable for the mission as defined by the Air Force’s own Request For Proposal. We are only asking that the rules of fair competition be followed,” McGraw said.

However, Northrop Grumman said Monday it won the U.S. Air Force’s new air tanker contract in a fair fight.

Part 2

Published: March 14, 2008 at 3:50 PM

WASHINGTON, March 14 (UPI) — Northrop Grumman is arguing that it won the U.S. Air Force’s new air tanker contract in a fair fight.The Boeing Co., whose KC-767 air tanker lost out in the contest for the $35 billion contract to Northrop Grumman and the European Aerospace and Defence and Space Co.’s KC-45A air tanker, has protested the deal and requested the U.S. Government Accountability Office to undertake an investigation.

The controversy on Capitol Hill crosses party lines but follows an otherwise predictable pattern. Congressmen and senators from states where Boeing and its industry partners who would have been involved in the program are furious at the decision. States where Northrop Grumman and its partners have plants, or can be expected to build or expand them, are all for it.

Boeing corporate officials and spokesmen have been outspoken in their criticism of the way the deal was awarded. But Northrop Grumman has hit back in championing the merits of the aircraft it will be building with EADS.

“The KC-45A competition underwent the most rigorous, fair and transparent acquisition process in Defense Department history,” Northrop Grumman said. “Throughout the process, both competitors in the KC-45A acquisition hailed the Air Force for conducting a fair and open competition.”

“The size of the proposed tanker aircraft was not dictated by the Air Force nor was size an established criteria — each contractor was free to propose the best solution and platform to meet Air Force war fighter requirements,” Northrop Grumman said.

“Both contractors had ample opportunity in the protracted acquisition and source selection process to propose the best aerial refueling capability to meet the war fighter’s requirements,” the company said.

Northrop Grumman also said the new KC-45A air tanker was already a tested and reliable aircraft, unlike the KC-767.

Northrop Grumman said its first KC-45A tanker aircraft “was built in July 2007 and flown in September 2007.” The company said the KC-45A’s Aerial Refueling Boom System had already “completed 73 test flights totaling more than 200 flight hours.”

“The boom completed the first in-flight fuel transfer on Feb. 29, 2008 passing 2,000 pounds of fuel to a Portuguese Air Force F-16 combat aircraft,” the company said.

Northrop Grumman also said the KC-45A was “based upon the Royal Australian Air Force KC-30B Multirole Tanker — which has been built, flown, and is undergoing flight tests. It will be delivered on schedule to the Royal Australian Air Force in early 2009.”

“Boeing’s proposed KC-767AT tanker and refueling boom were never built, flown or tested,” Northrop Grumman said.

Northrop Grumman further claimed that its KC-45A tanker assembly program “will create a new aerospace manufacturing corridor in the southeastern United States.”

“The KC-45A program helps return competitiveness to the U.S. aerospace industry,” the company said.

Boeing said if it had been given the contract, it would have created 44,000 jobs across the United States. Northrop Grumman originally said its program for the KC-45A would create 25,000 jobs. But this week, it announced that in fact 48,000 jobs would be created.

It must be said that this last claim appears unlikely. Under the Boeing program, much more work would have been done on manufacturing the aircraft in the United States. Under the Northrop Grumman program, EADS would actually build most of the primary parts of the aircraft which are, after all, adapted versions of the Airbus A-300, in plants across Europe. Those parts would then be shipped to a new plant yet to be built in Alabama where they would then be assembled.

Part 3

Published: March 18, 2008 at 2:11 PM

WASHINGTON, March 18 (UPI) — The continuing conflict between Northrop Grumman and Boeing over the U.S. Air Force’s gigantic air tanker is unique in the recent history of U.S. military procurement.The interactions of the dozen or so largest U.S. defense contractors usually resemble an intricate minuet performed by gigantic dinosaurs with an infinite number of interacting appendages. The business of the biggest contractors is often closely intertwined. It is routine for divisions of one giant contractor — units that as companies of their own would be worth hundreds of millions of dollars, or even billions of dollars in their own right — to work closely and harmoniously with subcontractors for rival corporations. Even when competition may be intense for a particularly big contract, there is usually little, if any, bad blood afterward, at least in public.

However, the giant corporations of the U.S. defense industry are also like major nations that control their own territories and empires. Companies will develop areas where their own specialty will be taken for granted. General Dynamic Electric Boat therefore is the company that makes nuclear submarines. The Boeing Co. builds the finest strategic bombers and airliners in the world and breathtaking anti-ballistic missile systems too. Lockheed Martin is famous for the Patriot anti-ballistic missile for which it is the prime contractor.

But occasionally, just as entire provinces may change hands in a war, or overseas colonial empires become independent or change hands, one giant corporation will win a contract in an area which another corporation has looked upon as its own traditional preserve. This happened under the Clinton administration when Boeing won the main orders for the Future Intelligence Architecture — the next generation of U.S. intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance satellites, wresting the business from Lockheed Martin, which had been dominant in the field for more than 30 years.

Now Boeing has suffered the same fate in the air tanker market. It has provided the U.S. air force with its fleet of KC-135 air tankers — originally versions of the Boeing 707 — for more than half a century. The KC-135s have been flying since the Eisenhower administration and Boeing has done a superlative job of keeping them reliable and efficient for decades longer than their original projected operational life.

But nothing lasts forever, and over the past decade the KC-135s have been more in demand than ever, serving the Air Force’s proliferating new military commitments from Kosovo to Afghanistan to Iraq. The time for their replacement was long overdue.

Boeing understandably was confident — and even complacent — that it would get the order to replace them with its new KC-767 air tanker. After all, no other corporation in the world knew as much about air refueling tankers, had built so many of them or had operated them efficiently for so long as Boeing.

But nothing lasts forever in the world of military weapons systems and procurement either. Northrop Grumman joined forces with the German and French run European Aeronautics Defence and Space Co. on a proposal to adapt the European A-330 Airbus into the KC-45A air tanker.

The odds against Northrop Grumman and EADS winning seemed enormous. First, there was Boeing’s 52-year record in having a lock on the USAF’s air tanker business.

Second, Boeing and Airbus are currently locked in a bitter row embroiling the U.S. government and the European Union over the European governments’ massive subsidies to Airbus trying to make it more competitive than Boeing in the world market.

This enormous level of government subsidy and support is a significant reason why EADS was able to undercut Boeing on projected costs of the sale.

Boeing also claims that the U.S. Air Force found that operational costs will be much higher on operating the KC-45A. And since the KC-45A is a much larger aircraft than the KC-767, its fuel operating costs will be much higher too.

However, the KC-45A’s larger size will give it a longer range and enable it to carry much more fuel than the KC-767, though Boeing argues that this was not in the Air Force’s original specifications for the aircraft it said it wanted.

But where Northrop Grumman and EADS clearly beat Boeing hands down was in their hunger for the contract and the efficiency and aggressiveness with which they went after it.

Part 4

Published: March 19, 2008 at 7:14 PM

WASHINGTON, March 19 (UPI) — The debate over the rival merits of the Northrop-Grumman-EADS KC-45A air tanker and the Boeing KC-767 is one of the most intense and difficult in the recent history of U.S. military procurement because of the broad range and complexities of the issues involved.The KC-45A is a far larger plane. It will have a longer range and be able to carry far more fuel. However, it will be consequentially far more expensive to operate and will require far more fuel itself. At a time when global oil prices are around $100 a barrel and could go even higher, that is a significant factor, too.

Northrop Grumman and its partner, the European Aeronautics Defence and Space Co., satisfied U.S. Air Force assessors they would be able to master the immense challenges of building different parts of the aircraft in different countries — including Germany, France, Spain and the Netherlands — and then shipping them to a new plant to be built in Alabama for assembly and adaptation by Northrop Grumman. After all, Airbus is already built that way and the KC-45A is an adaptation of the A-330 Airbus.

However, EADS has had no experience of building aircraft for tankers. It certainly performed the impressive feat of creating a refueling boom for their prototype KC-45A and then successfully operated it for U.S. Air Forces officials. Boeing, slow and complacent in seeking what it thought was an assured contract, did not come near to doing that.

However, as we have noted before, Boeing has unmatched experience at operating the Air Force’s old fleet of Boeing KC-135s — originally adapted Boeing 707s designed in the 1950s — and keeping them flying for decades longer than originally planned. And that expertise cannot be duplicated by Northrop Grumman and EADS.

This is very important because the recent history of U.S. military high-tech procurement teaches repeatedly that there are great risks involved when switching responsibility for major programs from companies that have successfully implemented them for decades and giving them to brash newcomers in the field.

Ironically, as we have noted before in these columns, Boeing undermined its own reputation by rashly taking on prime responsibility for the next generation of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance satellites from Lockheed Martin in the Clinton administration’s Future Intelligence Architecture program. The Bush administration was eventually forced to scrap that program after $4 billion had been spent on it.

Here, the dangers of lack of experience combined with entropy — the inevitable tendency toward delay, disorganization and chaos of any new program carried out by a major corporation that has no prior experience with it — will be far greater.

Construction of the KC-45A will be carried out not in the United States at all but a continent away, and in plants in different countries, none of which has had any previous experience running aircraft production lines for a military customer as demanding as the U.S. Air Force.

No high-tech program of such complexity involving so much work in so many different countries has ever been attempted before. It is straining credulity to assume that the program will flow on time as smoothly and effortless as the European businessmen convinced the U.S. Air Force that it would. Nor is it reassuring that EADS posted a $446 million loss for the 2007 financial year.

The future therefore, remains filled with uncertainty.

© 2008 United Press International. All Rights Reserved.
This material may not be reproduced, redistributed, or manipulated in any form.

U.K., Air Tanker Settle RAF Tanker Deal

By Andrew Chuter

Published: 27 Mar 13:11 EDT (09:11 GMT)

Source: Defense News

LONDON - The Royal Air Force is to get a fleet of Airbus in-flight refueling tanker aircraft in a 13 billion pound ($26 billion) private finance initiative (PFI) signed by the Ministry of Defence and the AirTanker consortium.

More than four years of negotiations between the AirTanker consortium, led by Airbus parent EADS, and the MoD over terms have finally been completed with a service contract allowing the RAF to have the use of up to 14 converted A330 airliners for tanking and passenger transport duties.

The first of the aircraft will enter service in 2011 to replace the RAF’s aging fleet of VC-10 and Tristar tanker/transports.

The deal, set to run for 27 years, is reckoned to be the largest defense public-private partnership yet undertaken.

Under the arrangement, the AirTanker consortium will own the aircraft and be responsible for training and maintenance, with the RAF effectively leasing the assets as required.

AirTanker will provide the infrastructure at the A330’s operating base at RAF Brize Norton, Oxfordshire, including the hangar, training, maintenance, flight operations’ fleet management and ground services.

Announcing the deal, defense procurement minister Baroness Taylor said the A330 would provide the RAF with a state-of-the-art tanker and passenger aircraft supporting air operations around the world.

“Achieving a satisfactory outcome to this complex, high-value, PFI deal has been challenging, particularly given the factors currently affecting the financial markets,” Taylor said.

Some 2.2 billion pounds of the capital required by AirTanker to undertake construction of the aircraft and other assets had to be funded by debt when plans to raise the cash via a bond fell victim to the recent credit crunch. AirTanker shareholders provided about a further 200 million pounds.

AirTanker boss Phil Blundell said closing the deal had been a challenge in the face of turmoil in the financial market.

EADS is the leading AirTanker shareholder in a consortium which also includes Cobham, Rolls-Royce, Thales UK and the VT Group.

The RAF is expected to require a core fleet of about eight aircraft with the remainder available to meet surge requirements.

AirTanker plans to lease the A330s for civil transport when the aircraft are not required by the military.

Blundell said he hoped that all the aircraft eventually would be fully employed by the RAF.

Aircraft leased into the civil market can be returned to the RAF in a maximum of 30 days, or sooner in an emergency. Conversion back to military standards, including the fitting of under wing refueling pods, can be achieved in a matter of hours.

AirTanker was selected to negotiate with the MoD in January 2004, beating a Boeing-backed bid offering second-hand British Airways 767s.

Since then, the A330 has gone on to win a string of air tanking contests against Boeing, culminating in the U.S. Air Force decision to acquire the aircraft for its own in-flight refueling requirements. Boeing is contesting the award.

Russian Defence Procurement in 2007

Andrey Frolov

Source:  Moscow Defense Brief

In 2007 Russia’s national defence procurement (NDP) amounted to 302.7 billion rubles (app. $11.6 billion), which marks an increase of 27.9% over 2006. Of this sum, $5.6 billion (47.9%) will be spent on purchases of new equipment, $2.3 billion (19.8%) on repairs and modernization, and $3.7 billion (32.2%) on R&D. Appropriations for purchases, repairs and modernization, and R&D grew by 25.5%, 23.6% and 34.4%, respectively.

NDP-2007 includes purchases of new equipment and the continuation of long-term programs begun in the late 1980s and early 1990s. The latter consists mostly of Navy projects, given their high cost and relatively long production cycles, when compared to the equipment of other services. Published data tends to support official statements that mass purchases of serially-produced items are planned, especially with regard to the Navy, though the scale of such purchases remains rather low.

Significant sums (41% of the sum, reserved for purchasing of the new equipment) have also been allocated to repairs and modernization. Given the Defence Ministry’s tradition of procuring new equipment for its strategic nuclear forces, most of funds assigned to repairs and modernization will be devoted to conventional weaponry. In 2007, the strategic forces will acquire 17 land and sea-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) – a post-Soviet record, according to published information – finance the construction of three ballistic nuclear missile submarines and acquire new strategic bomber.

There is virtually no information on purchases of weaponry, for the air force and navy above all. Taking account of the high price of modern weapons systems, which one can estimate on the basis of export contracts, it is likely that the share of such purchases in absolute and relative terms is quite large.

It is interesting to compare NDP‑2007 with the State Program of Armaments for 2007—2015 (SPA-2015). The latter allocates $190 billion, of which the Defence Ministry should provide $173.5 billion, including $109.2 billion. for the purchase of new arms and equipment at constant 2006 prices. This sets appropriations for arms and equipment in 2007 at 5.1% of the overall spending planned to 2015, or about half of the proportion that would have to be spent equally over the next eight years (11.1%) to match the forecast of SPA‑2015. The gap between the relative percentage allocated to purchases of new arms and equipment is evident with 63% for SPA‑2015 and just 47.9% for NDP‑2007. These figures could be related to the tendency to reduce “inertial” purchases, i.e., the completion of long drawn-out projects, some dating to Soviet times and requiring repairs even before the completion of construction, and the simultaneous growth of “innovative” projects, i.e., the rising number of newly-acquired weapons systems. Indeed, it is clear that purchases of arms and equipment purchases is set to increase by 2010. The number of long drawn-out projects will be also be reduced by administrative action; for example, the fitting-out of the Project 949AM cruise-missile nuclear submarine at Sevmash was rejected in 2006 and not included in NDP‑2007.

Finally, NDP‑2007 marks the threshold of a new practice for the arms-procurement system: from 2008 the national defence procurement will be defined for a three-year period.

The tables below show only known purchases of arms and military equipment for the Russian armed forces, not including purchases for law enforcement and security agencies like the Interior Ministry, the Federal Security Service and others. Published orders for repairs and modernization are also included, but R&D contracts are not.

Table 1. Strategic Nuclear Forces

Name Number of units Notes Producer

New Purchases

Topol M ICBM 7 4 silo-based and 3 mobile Votkinskiy factory
Bulava R-30 SLBM N/A For testing Votkinskiy factory
Sineva R-29PMU SLBM N/A Probably 10, considering the quantity of Topol—M ordered out of the total of 17 ICBMs purchased this year. Other publications suggest 12 Krasnoyarsk Machine-building Factory

Table 2. Space Forces

Name Number of units Cost per unit,
million USD
Notes Producer
New Purchases
Launch vehicle 4 N/A At least one launch, that of the Soyuz-2-1B, was observed in August-September 2007
Satellite 4 N/A Possibly to include one new generation missile attack warning satellite. Launch planned for the second half of 2007
GLONASS-M satellites 5 153.8 In 2007 six satellites, including one prepared in 2006, are planned to be placed in orbit Reshetnev Scientific-Production Association
Cosmodromes development - 69.2
Launch pad for the Angara launch vehicle (at Baikonur) 1 N/A Production began in 2006 Zvezdochka
Voronezh-DM radar station 1 57.7 Second station in a series. Built near Armavir, Krasnodar Region Long-Range Radio Communications Research Institute (design),
NPP Piramida (producer)

Table 3. Air Forces

Name Number of units Notes Producer
New Purchases
Tu-160 strategic bomber 1 Construction was to finish by the end of 2006 Gorbunov KAPO
Su-34 front-line bomber 6 NDP-2007 allocates $65.3 million, though one unit costs $33 million Chkalov NAPO
Yak-130 advanced trainer 4 NAZ Sokol
Ka-50 attack helicopter 3 NDP-2007 allocates $57.7 million AAK Progress
Ka-52 attack helicopter 1 Pilot series AAK Progress
Mi—28N attack helicopter 5 Pilot series. VK-2500 engine for the first Mi—28N to be supplied by the Ukrainian Motor-Sich Rostvertol
Ansat light helicopter 2—3 Perhaps for the Syzran aviation school Kazan Helicopter Plant
Tu-214 passenger aircraft 1 In a VIP version; could be handed over in 2008 Gorbunov KAPO
S-400 SAM system 1 batallion Almaz-Antey Air Defence Concern
Repairs and Modernization
Tu-160 strategic bomber 2 Repairs expected to be completed by the end of 2007 Gorbunov KAPO
MiG-31B fighter interceptor N/A Modernized to MiG-31BM version; equipped with Zaslon-AM air-borne radar and LCDs NAZ Sokol, MoD RF ARZ No. 514
Su-27 fighter 6–12 Modernization and modification of the Su-27SM; probably equipped wi th Al—31F-M1 engines. Work began in 2006 on 6 planes Gagarin KnAAPO
Su-24M front-line bomber 12 Modernization and modification of the Su-24M2. MoD concluded a 3-years contract for the modernization of the Su-24M. Chkalov NAPO
Su-25 attack aircraft 6 Modernization and modification of the Su-25SM RF MoD Aviation Repair Factory No. 121
Beriev A-50 AWACS N/A Increase flight range. Improve radar system to direct aviation to ground targets Beriev TANTK
Tu-22M3 long-range bomber 1 Gorbunov KAPO
Il—76MD transport plane 1 Remotoring by PS-90A-76 engine. By 2006—2009 12 aircraft should be modernized VASO, Perm Motor Plant
Mi—24P attack helicopter N/A Modernized to Mi—24PN version. Possibly began modernization to 24PM version. Rostvertol

Table 4. Navy

Project Name Cost per unit, million USD Notes Producer
New Purchases
Project 955 Borey SSBN Yuriy Dolgorukiy N/A Laid down in 1996, launched April 2007 Sevmash
Aleksandr Nevskiy N/A Laid down in 2004
Project 955A Borey SSBN Vladimir Monomakh N/A Laid down in 2006
Project 885 Yasen SSN Severodvinsk N/A Laid down in 1993
Project 971I Irbis SSN Nerpa N/A Begun in 1986. Might be destined for Indian Navy Amur Shipyard
Project 677 Lada SSK Sankt-Petersburg N/A Undergoing testing; hand-over to Navy in 2007 Admiralty Shipyards
Kronshtadt N/A Laid down in 2004
Sevastopol N/A Laid down in 2006
Project 20380 corvette Steregushiy 192.3 Undergoing testing; hand-over to Navy in 2007 Northern Shipyards
Soobraznitel’niy 57.7—69.2 Laid down in 2003
Boykiy 69.2 Laid down in 2005
Stoykiy 69.2 Laid down in 2006
Sovershenniy 69.2 Laid down in 2006 Amur Shipyard
Project 11540 Yastreb frigate Yaroslav Mudriy 19.2 million to be allocated in 2007 Laid down in 1988 Yantar’ Shipyard
Project 22350 frigate Admiral Gorshkov 423.1 Laid down in 2006 Northern Shipyards
Proect 18280 intelligence ship Yuriy Ivanov N/A Laid down in 2004
Project 11661K Gepard corvette Dagestan N/A Laid down in 1992. Hand over to Navy in 2007 Zelenodol’sk Yard
Project 11711 landing ship Ivan Gren N/A Laid down in 2004 Yantar’
Project 12441U training ship Borodino N/A Former frigate Novik, laid down in 1997
Project 23100 rescue ship Igor’ Belousov N/A Laid down in 2005 Admiralty Shipyards
Project 20180 search and transport ship Zvezdochka N/A Laid down in 2004 Zvezdochka
Project 21630 Buyan small gunboat Kaspiysk 9.6 Laid down in 2005 Hand-over to Navy in 2007 Almaz
Makhachkala 9.6 Laid down in 2006
Project 02668 ocean minesweeper Vice-Admiral Zakharin’ N/A Fitting-out, launched in 2006 Sredne-Nevskiy Shipyard
Project 21820 Dyugon fast-speed small landing ship N/A 7.7 (lead ship) Laid down in 2006 Volga SZ
Project 436 target ship N/A N/A Order received in 2005 Amur Shipyard
Repairs and Modernization
Project 11435 aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov N/A SRZ-35
Project 667BDR SSBN Ryazan’ N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization Zvezdochka
Project 667BDR SSBN N/A N/A Probably two more ships. Mid—life repairs Zvezda
Project 667BDRM SSBN Karelia N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization, begun in November 2006 Zvezdochka
Novomoskovsk N/A
Bryansk N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization. Work began in 2002
Project 949A SSGN Irkutsk N/A Repairs. Work began in 2001 Zvezda
Project 949A SSN Probably, Nizhniy Novgorod N/A Certification for repairs began in 2005 Nerpa SRZ
Project 971 SSN Pantera N/A Mid—life repairs Sea trials began in early 2007 Sevmash
Kashalot N/A Mid—life repairs. Work de facto began in 2005 Amur Shipyards
Project 671RTMK SSN Daniil Moskovskiy N/A Mid—life repairs Nerpa SRZ
Project 877 SSK Unknown N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization Amur Shipyards
Kaluga N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization since 2002 Zvezdochka
Project 641B SSK B-380 N/A Repairs since 1992 Lazarevskoe Admiral’teystvo (Sevastopol’)
Project 11442 nuclear-powered battlecruiser Admiral Nakhimov N/A Deployment of reactor’s critical zone, replacement of anti-ship missile mount, replacement of electronic systems Sevmash
Project 956 destroyer Burniy N/A Repair. Handed over to Navy in 2007 Zvezda
Rastoropniy N/A Mid—life repairs Northern Shipyard
Project 1155 destroyer Vice-Admiral Kulakov N/A Mid—life repairs and modernization Northern Shipyard
Admiral Levchenko N/A Mid—life repairs
Armament
- Moskit anti-ship missile N/A “Production volumes for the Russian Navy equal exports to China” AAK Progress

Table 5. Land Forces

Name Number of Units Notes Producer
New Purchases
T-90 main battle tank 31 Cost of one unit in January 2007 was app. $2.23 million Uralvagonzavod
BMPT tank combat fire support vehicle A few vehicles Delivery of pre-production batch Uralvagonzavod
BMD—4 airborne infantry fighting vehicle 10 Volgograd Tractor Plant
BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicle N/A Possibly about 40, if NDP for Kurganmashzavod maintains 2006 levels Kurganmashzavod
BTR-80 armoured pesonnel carrier About 100 Arzamas Machine-building Plant
Tipchak unmanned tactical aerial reconnaissance system N/A Delivery of pre-production batch Vega Concern
Iskander-M TMD 3 batallions There are 4 launch systems for each batallion, with 16 missiles each batallion Mashinostroenie Design Bureau
KamAZ truck About 2000 KamAZ
Repairs and Modernization
T-72 main battle tank 155 Modernization; probably the T-72B2 Rogatka configuration Uralvagonzavod
T-80 main battle tank 31 Modernization Omsk Transport Machinebuilding Plant
BMD—3 airborne infantry fighting vehicle N/A Modernized to BMD—4 configuration with Bakhcha-U fire system Shchelgovskiy Val Istrument Design Bureau

Table 6. Distribution of NDP-2007 by select regions

Region Volume of NDP, million USD
Nizhniy Novgorod oblast’ 500
Samara oblast’ 180
Vladimir oblast’ 175–188
Ulyanovsk oblast’ 96–138
Primorskiy krai App. 40 million higher than NDP-2006
© Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST)
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phone/fax: (+7-495) 775-0418. www.mdb.cast.ru

SigInt battle - U.S. Navy gears up for long-awaited EPX intel aircraft competition

By Paul Richfield
January 28, 2008

Source:  The Journal of Net-Centric Warfare 

The U.S. Navy has asked U.S. defense contractors to design and ultimately build a new signals intelligence (SigInt) platform to replace the service’s aging fleet of Lockheed Martin EP-3E Aries II turboprops. Although the number of aircraft in the potential “EPX” order is relatively small by U.S. procurement standards — 14 to 24 is a popular estimate — the final selection could have a significant influence on how first-tier militaries conduct maritime surveillance for decades to come.

Not only will EPX be the newest Navy aircraft devoted to eavesdropping on enemy communications, it also will be the first to serve as the SigInt element of a networked ISR system incorporating manned and unmanned aircraft, satellites, ground stations and surface combatants. Detailed technical requirements are closely held, although the Naval Air Systems Command (NAVAIR) revealed the basic considerations to prospective bidders at a recent EPX industry day conducted at Naval Air Station Patuxent River, Md.

Kristine Wilcox, a NAVAIR spokeswoman, said EPX will be a manned ISR and targeting aircraft capable of operating in a SatCom-constrained environment, in concert with the P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft and the UAV ultimately selected for the Navy’s Broad Area Maritime Surveillance (BAMS) bid. Wilcox said the competition is open to all interested parties and is expected to attract a diverse range of platform and sensor providers.

“Nothing is decided,” she said. “We plan to work with industry to find the best solution.”

This could be considered a minor revelation, as it opens the door to alternatives to what many had considered a fait accompli — a dedicated SigInt version of the twin-turbofan P-8A. Boeing unveiled this 737-based aircraft in January 2006, after the Navy dropped out of the Army-led Aerial Common Sensor (ACS) program. ACS was slated to replace the EP-3E and two types of Army reconnaissance aircraft, but the contract was canceled when ever-expanding mission requirements outgrew the winning platform, the Embraer 145 regional jet.

Given this background, Embraer seems an unlikely EPX bidder. But if the Brazilian manufacturer does attempt to scale the Pentagon’s wall again, it now can offer the EMB-170/190 family — single-aisle airliners that appear able to carry any reasonable evolution of the EP-3E mission system. Embraer declined to comment on EPX, although senior executives previously conceded a post-ACS wariness of the U.S. acquisition process and specific issues with U.S. defense contractors serving as lead systems integrators.


Another airline narrowbody with potential EPX application is the EADS Airbus A320 family, and EADS representatives attended the Pax River briefing. NATO selected and then dropped a stretched derivative aircraft, the A321, as its platform for the Alliance Ground Surveillance program now in concept development.

General Dynamics’ Gulfstream unit seems an obvious EPX contender, and its BAMS partnership with Boeing — built around an optionally-manned version of the G550 business jet — effectively positions both companies for EPX should the Navy call for a platform smaller than a 737. Gulfstream also could proceed without Boeing, but this seems unlikely unless BAMS is awarded to one of the other contenders.

Northrop Grumman is offering an AESA-equipped Block 20 Global Hawk UAV for BAMS, while Lockheed Martin has proposed a long-winged variant of the General Atomics Predator B UAV. The initial contract award was planned for October, but the decision was still pending as C4ISR Journal went to press.

Bombardier’s Global Express — the chosen bus for the U.K.’s ASTOR battlefield radar program — is another potential EPX platform, but like Gulfstream, its fate is tied to the size and scope of the mission system. If the Navy keeps the size, weight and power demands within tight limits, observers believe, one of these converted corporate chariots could get the nod.

“Don’t count the bizjets out,” said Joe Siniscalchi, L-3 Communications Integrated Systems’ director of business development. “Processing density has improved, allowing us to drive to smaller systems. With EPX, the biggest challenge is that you have the right size, weight and power to do what you need done. It’s really a question of new development vs. reuse, and how much risk the customer is willing to take.

“EPX is very important to us. We’re incumbent on the current platform and have been tracking developments for some time. We’re very interested in seeing how the Navy program evolves. Clearly, the P-8A and BAMS programs will have an influence, but that being said, the Navy is in assessment mode. Certainly, the mission system will drive the requirements, and [P-8A] is built for an entirely different mission — anti-submarine warfare. With EPX, the big thing is how much onboard processing power will be needed to meet the required level of autonomy.

“On-scene, on-orbit, on-platform processing, tactical dissemination, linking back with the command authority — these are the kinds of things that will shape the EPX requirements. The Navy needs to be able to do what the EP-3E does, but it also has to plan for tomorrow’s threats. Do you need 24 people, or will a data link suffice? This is the kind of question that has to be answered. More and more, software is driving capabilities, so it’s much easier to build a smaller system that meets the mission but is easily upgraded as the requirements mature.”

 

 

CONNECTING AN ISR TRIAD

Although the ability to process SigInt data in real time may have a strong influence on the final EPX systems configuration, forging robust electronic links with P-8A and BAMS could have equal weight in the hardware/software procurement arena. Although BAMS remains a wild card until contract award, Boeing hopes the apparent commonality between the P-8A and an “EP” version of the same aircraft will give it the edge, regardless of who wins the UAV contract.

“Our whole approach is to capitalize on the Navy’s P-8A investment, as opposed to building from the ground up or refurbishing something to last for another 50 years,” said Tim Norgart, business development director of Boeing’s ASW/ISR unit, based in Puget Sound, Wash.

“When we first rolled out the [P-8A], there were two variants: Search & Attack and Surveillance & Intelligence. SI went away when the Navy went with the Army on ACS, but we felt confident that someone would eventually come back to an airplane of this size, for this mission. And now, with the Navy out of ACS and EPX a stand-alone program, they have. It’s funny how things come full circle.

“Transitioning from the P-8A, we see very few changes to the airplane and can easily incorporate all the features needed for the SigInt mission. We do intend to leave the hard points on the wings intact, and the bottom forward section has all that strengthening for weapons, antennas and anything else the Navy wants to install. We’ll also have a small ‘canoe’ up there, but the structural work has already been done,” Norgart said.

“P-8A has an open mission system architecture, and it’s only a matter of plugging in the applications needed for the specific mission; you can ride the SigInt applications right on top of this backbone, without them cascading through the entire system. Of course, we’ll also leverage the sensors that are already on the P-8A, like radar and [electro-optical/infrared], and the baseline [communications] links.

“The sharing and the workload capacity is there, and our ability to lay down a 14-operator configuration is very easy; you just bolt the work stations to the seat rails and hook up the power and cooling. With the P-8A, the wiring is already there for the power distribution, along with a significant reserve. We don’t even make a dent in that figure.

“Our core development team worked together on the MRA4 Nimrod mission system, and we’re going to leverage those work stations so the radar, ESM and all those kinds of things remain the same. We plan to stay with the Raytheon team that does the current system on the EP-3E; they’re a big part of what we’re doing and bring a tremendous amount of experience to this mission area.

“What we will be bringing on are a group of different SigInt providers, talking with all of them, to put a total system together. We’re in our assessment phase now. If the Navy moves toward a [lead systems integrator] and wants to compete different parts of it, we’ll do that.

“Onboard processing is still a great area for debate and could determine the size of the airplane required, but there are a whole lot of other things, as folks with the first ACS program will tell you. Our approach is really platform-agnostic. We didn’t settle on the 737 by accident, or because of the P-8A.

“We take the total requirements picture and apply them to a wide range of air vehicles, and might end up with two vehicles to support the total set of requirements. We’ve known the requirements for EP-3E and EPX baseline, and they continue to drive our trade study to a 737-based approach.

“Programs that start out on the margins of payload and power capacity — the risk assigned is pretty high, and not many of them have been successful. When the margins are tight, if you want to put something on, you have to take something off,” Norgart said.

 

 

MOVEMENT TOWARD MULTI-INT

Mission systems providers are conducting their own EPX trade studies on two parallel tracks. One assumes that the Navy will seek only to replicate EP-3E with a more modern platform, with machines replacing humans in some on-board roles.

The second — and some say more likely — approach is that the service will regard the Aries II as merely a launching point, with EPX emerging as the first true multi-Int aircraft, and one with networking capability, as well.

“They definitely want to combine additional capabilities related to things on other aircraft; the key is to analyze the time line of the program,” said Jim Courtright, director of maritime surveillance programs for Lockheed Martin.

“If you’re looking 10 years forward, the technology will be packaged and integrated somewhat differently. The [EP-3E] systems are very federated for compartmentalization, and as a function of their design increments and block upgrade development.

“It’s pretty clear that the Navy is going to need an open architecture for upgrades and new capabilities, with a system that fits with the overall system-of-systems architecture in 2015 or 2020. Also, they’re going to want to take advantage of all the improvements in antennas, signal processing and other functions.”

Raytheon, a major P-8A partner, sees EPX as a “positioning exercise.” Jim Hvizd, the company’s director of enterprise pursuits, said involvement could range from an upgraded search radar if the Navy goes plain vanilla, to a multilevel sensor suite incorporating SigInt, synthetic aperture radar, ground moving target indication, onboard processing, and UAV control/data collection, with or without help from ground stations.

“It’s going to be interesting to see how the requirements flesh out, and we’ve heard everything from a business jet to a 737,” Hvizd said. “The Navy still has to work out how EPX, P-8A and BAMS will work together. We’re supporting Boeing on its BAMS bid, and our APS-137 [radar] could appear on the G550 BAMS; our radar for EPX would certainly draw from that legacy. Until the BAMS decision is made, I feel we’re pretty constrained.

“Multi-Int on a single platform is a new thing, as is sharing data from multiple platforms, and we look at it as a way to serve the Navy’s needs across all the maritime surveillance programs. What we’ve learned with [the United Kingdom’s] ASTOR is how to deliver ISR capabilities unique to specific requirements, but from ASTOR to EPX will be a great leap forward. It comes down to a choice between another patrol plane or a flying battle station that can drastically shrink the sensor-to-shooter loop: That’s what the Navy has to decide.”

Al-Khalid, Type 98, And T-90 Dominate World Tank Market

by Staff Writers
Newtown CT (SPX) Mar 26, 2008 

Source: Space War 


In its annual analysis, “The Market for Tanks,” the Forecast International Weapons Group expects that the international market will produce over 6,900 main battle tanks, worth nearly $27.9 billion, through 2017. However, while increased modernization and retrofit remains transparent to our analysis of new-production tanks, this factor remains a significant component of the international market.

Dean Lockwood, Weapons Systems Analyst at Forecast International and author of the analysis, noted, “In 2007, U.S. Department of Defense contract awards for the maintenance, RESET, and upgrade of the existing M1 Abrams inventories carried a total value of over $1.223 billion.” That was equivalent to nearly 33.25 percent of the total value of all new-production main battle tanks entering the international market in 2007 (over $3.68 billion). Last year, the Chinese Type 98 program maintained its position as the single largest new-production program. Yet, with a total value of $402.62 million (for 118 new-production tanks), the Type 98 program was worth less than 33 percent what the U.S. DoD spent on the M1 Abrams in 2007.The expense associated with the modernization and retrofit of high-end main battle tanks pales in comparison with the prospect of new tank procurement. Thus, we expect that new production of high-end tanks will remain relatively low, accounting for 14.03 percent of all production and worth 22.25 percent of the market, during the forecast period. In terms of sheer numbers, we expect that Pakistan’s Al Khalid, the Type 98 of the People’s Republic of China, and the Russian Federation’s T-90 (including India’s licensed T-90S production program) will continue to dominate the market, accounting for 60.38 percent of all new tanks rolling out worldwide, worth 52.82 percent of the market, through 2017.

In the international market for main battle tanks, the days of U.S. and European domination over new production appear to be long gone. Nevertheless, the established U.S. and European players continue to make their presence felt. The 120mm Rh 120 smoothbore ordnance, the state-of-the-art Leopard 2, and the combat-proven M1 Abrams continue to set the standard for main battle tank design worldwide.

Second only to the infantryman in terms of combat effectiveness, the “mailed fist” of heavy armor remains the arm of decision on the modern battlefield. Further, as Operation Iraqi Freedom (2003-present) evolved from a war of movement into a security operation, the main battle tank has proven surprisingly adaptable.

According to Lockwood, “In the congested streets of Iraqi cities, the Abrams serves as a significant force multiplier, fully up to meeting the challenges of an asymmetric warfare environment.”